Household Resources and Demographic Resilience: Dynamics of Short-Term Fertility Intentions in Czechia, 2020-2022

Martin Kreidl , Masaryk University, Department of Sociology, Faculty of Social Studies
Darina Kmentová, Masaryk University

This paper investigates how resources (household income, respondent’s education) structured changes in women’s short/term fertility intentions in Czechia between 2020 and 2022. Using data from the Generations and Gender Survey (GGS II.), which was collected between November 2020 and July 2022, and applying ordinal logistic regression models to control for covariates, we show how short/term fertility intentions unfolded during external pressure (COVID, high inflation, war in Ukraine, high immigration) across subpopulations defined by education and household income. We show that positive short-term intentions declined in all groups, but the change was less pronounced and delayed in privileged groups. Less privileged groups experienced more significant declines in 2021 and then some rebounding in 2022, which, however, did not bring their fertility intentions back to the 2020 level.

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 Presented in Session 116. Life-Course Determinants of Fertility Intentions and Realization